Entries tagged finance | Hugonweb Annotated Link Bibliography

In search of the origins of financial fluctuations: the inelastic markets hypothesis

https://doi.org/10.3386/w28967

Gabaix, X. and Koijen. In search of the origins of financial fluctuations: the inelastic markets hypothesis. NBER Working Paper, 2021.

I found it via an article in The Economist: Is passive investment inflating a stockmarket bubble? by Buttonwood.

It describes how $1 invested in a broad-market index increases the price of the index by $3 to $8, and that this is due to inelasticity in the market due to most participants just buying and holding.

Also interesting is that $1 of stock buybacks leads to \approx $2 of increase in stock price.

The important part for future research is that their financial model is dependent on easily-tracked flows of money in/out of the market, rather than e.g. sentiment.

John Law and the Mississippi Bubble Video

https://www.onf.ca/film/john_law_and_the_mississippi_bubble/

A funny animated video explaining the Mississippi Bubble in France. It was an early implementation of paper money (redeemable for gold) and a market bubble.

The misunderstood Kelly criterion

https://entropicthoughts.com/the-misunderstood-kelly-criterion

To maximise something which grows geometrically, choose the course of action that maximises the expected log-wealth of the thing.

The author wrote a related post When is insurance worth it? that I enjoyed as well.